February 12, 2007

PPC Momentum (Day Trading Technique)

What is PPC Momentum?

When I measure momentum in my campaigns, I am looking at the price differences (bid values) for a set time period to measure the rate of rise or decline. For example, say we are looking at a zero line. It is steady at 0. The correlation of prices rising is that the momentum line is above the zero line and rising. This is a clear statement that the uptrend is increasing. Should the upward trending momentum line begin to flatten out, we know that the new gains of the latest leads/sales/or actions are the same as the gains of 10 days earlier. The prices may still be advancing, but the rate of rise (velocity) has leveled off. When the momentum line begins to drop downward toward the zero line, the uptrend in price is still going, but at a decelerating rate, and the trend is losing momentum.

If the momentum line moves below the zero line, this means the latest 10 day close is now under the close of 10 days ago and a near term downtrend is in effect. Also, the 10 day moving average will have started to decline. The lower the momentum lines goes, the more momentum (velocity) the downtrend gains. The downtrend's momentum does not begin to decelerate until the momentum line begins to advance upward again.

Remember, momentum measures the differences between prices at two time intervals, so for the line to advance, the price gains of the latest close must be greater that the price gains of 10 days ago. A flat momentum line is created when prices by close by the same amount as 10 days ago. The momentum line declines when the last price gain is less than that of 10 days ago, even though the prices may still be rising. This is how momentum measures acceleration and deceleration in a price trend.

The way the momentum line is constructed causes it to always be one step ahead of the price movement. The line leads the advance or decline in prices, and levels off while the current price is still in effect. As prices begin to level off, the momentum line begins to move in the opposite direction.

You can use this technique to measure your PPC campaigns.  In any competitive market you are going to see price shifts, not as often as the stock market, but often enough that you make judgments on your campaigns and adjust them accordingly. If you see an upwards spiral happening, and it hit where you were 10 days ago, you can use that data to lower or higher your bids automatically.

Some of this text above was taken from Andy Swan who writes articles on Day Trading. This was simply to make Momentum easier for you to understand! Thanks Andy!

 

 

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4 Comments »

February 12, 2007

John Caviani :

Wow, this comparison to trading is fascinating. I'm really hoping I heard you say automate in your first video.

February 16, 2007

Dr. Michael Fleischer :

I love it! These parallels between the stock market and the management of a PPC campaign make total sense! Keep the buzz on cruise control. Really appreciating the information. You have my ear!

August 16, 2007

vincent campasano :

Hey guys whats happening? Haven't heard anything from you in a long time. Also there aren't any new posts in months.

Vince

August 17, 2007

Eldad Yogev :

Hello Amish and Larry,

The videos on Youtube are great and have helped me a lot in feeling more comfortable with PPC. Your analogy with stock markets and PPC is spot on. With the fluctuations, research and analysis that is part of both the connection makes absolute sense. I am keen to discover how you could automate the process so that a small guy like me can compete with the big boys.

I am EXTREMELY interested in mastering PPC so that I can make my money from the Net thus allowing me to move to London, live with my girlfriend and raise our son. I do have some questions and was hoping that you two are not so busy that you won't be able to reply.

First of all, how many ads should one split test. Is it really only A/B or should I be testing also other versions? In one ad group I have four ads, is that too many?
Overture's bid tool was a nice feature but as we all know it has disappeared. Have you found a substitute? If not, other than the 1% rule how else can you determine a good bid? Are there other free bid tools out there? Every time I search tons of bid management software comes up.

Somewhere I heard that the two of you moved to La Jolla. I hope its not too invasive to ask, but is that true? I live in LA and read that you have personally taught people how to use your system. Would you consider doing that again? I really am dying to make my life complete and begin family life in London.

Finally, I am very interested in learning more about Digiscape Solutions and how it might be able to help some of the sites I may build in the future. However, there is no phone number listed on any of the pages. Could you please email me the number?

Thanks again for the marvelous videos. I hope to be reporting to you two soon about my success. Wherever you are currently I hope that you are enjoying your hard won rewards. Looking forward to your reply, Eldad Yogev

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